Page 22 - Tropic Magazine Issue 15
P. 22

INDUSTRY  •  REAL ESTATE









           Steady, steady


           Tropic talks to local agents about their views on the
           Cairns property market outlook for 2019.                                   Nickoli Obersky
                                                                                      One Stop Property
                                                                             DEMAND OUTSTRIPPING SUPPLY
                                                                             In my view, 2019 will see continuing
                                                                             positive direction in the key market
                                                                             drivers such as population growth,
                                                                             employment opportunity and our
                                                                             affordability. These factors are just
                                                                             outstanding for a regional city that
                                                                             is exceeding similar-sized locations
                                                                             across Australia.
                                                                             Our local market has been shielded by
                                                                             below average rates of new homes and
                                                                             units construction starts, so there is no
                                                                             oversupply. This is also why we continue
                                                                             to have such a restricted and tight
                                                                             rental market. This tightening market
                                                                             will only continue so we will see steady
                                                                             price growth and increasing activity as
                                                                             demand is above supply. Properties that
                  Nicholas Slatyer           Troy McGuane and Karl Latham    are well-presented, expertly marketed
                  Belle Property Cairns          Elite Real Estate Services  and right priced will always drive market
                                                                             growth and turnover quickly – this is
           GOOD SIGNS                       MODERATE RISE AHEAD              where we are right now. Action a-plenty!
           2018 has served up more of the   The combination of low interest   The New Year first quarter is
           same for the Cairns property     rates and a tight rental market   traditionally the slowest of the year but
           market, which I think we should   will result in a rise in the median   right now in the established market
           be thankful for. No boom and     house price in Cairns during 2019.   the tail is wagging hard, so it could
           bust cycle in sight and a balanced,   Once completed, the inner city   surprise everyone. This is all fuelled
           predictable year ahead.          developments will boost consumer   by an exodus of “cashed out” investors
           We have seen the top end of      confidence and result in greater   and lifestyle re-locators from a quickly
           the market perform well which    buyer activity which will incentivise   declining Sydney and Melbourne
           continues the pattern that began a   home owners to place their property   market. Investors have now clicked
           couple of years ago.             on the market to capitalise from this   over to chasing rental returns and
           As for 2019... we’ve got low     increased buyer competition. Cairns   serviceability with continuing capital
           unemployment, a rejuvenated      will see a moderate rise in house   growth outlook and for the owner
           Cairns city and a strong tourism   prices and total sales numbers,   occupier we are so attractively cheap.
           environment, all of which will help   however there are no signs of a   Cairns remains an extremely attractive
           maintain a slow and steady upward   “booming” market in Cairns.   value proposition with continuing
           trend for our property market.                                    positivity in the baseline key indicators.



                                            VIEW FROM AFAR
                                            You should have confidence in the Cairns real estate market as the underlying
                                            fundamentals are solid and there’s a good pipeline of job creation. On a national
                                            level, the downward trajectory of housing finance approvals is a much deeper
                                            issue than falling property prices in Sydney and Melbourne. The property boom
                                            barely got outside of those two capital cities, yet the entire nation was subjected
                                            to the changes by the banking regulator Australian Prudential Regulation
                                            Authority (APRA). Other states would actually benefit from stimulus, not
                      Simon Pressley        tightening. I would suggest that the single most important task for our political
                       Propertyology        leaders to address right now is to clip the wings of APRA.





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