Page 90 - Tropic Magazine Issue 13
P. 90

ECONOMY  •  ANALYSIS



                                       Total employed by sector
           Ups and downs                                                                             13,800

           Conus economist                                    19,000                                      down 1000
                                                                                                          since 2014
           Pete Faulkner
           looks at the top 6                                      up 7000        RETAIL TRADE
           employing industries                                    since 2014     This is obviously (in Cairns at least) a
           in Cairns.                                                             sector very much driven by tourism
                                            HEALTH CARE AND SOCIAL                and as a result closely follows
           Over the past four               ASSISTANCE                            the fortunes of that industry. The
           years, total employment          This sector has been the big growth   shift to online shopping has had
           in Cairns is up by               area for the region, and will continue   disproportionately large impacts
           almost 6000. Despite             to be with the roll-out of the NDIS.   in regional areas and Cairns
           perceptions of a strong          Growth in these sectors are reflected   is no exception. Despite some
           tourism industry                 across the state and nation. Over     improvements in the past couple of
           and the recent flurry            the past four years, this sector’s    years as tourism has picked up, the
                                            employment has grown by about
           of construction                  7000 in the Cairns region.            sector remains well below the levels
           activity related to the                                                seen pre-GFC. Over the past four
           Crystalbrook Collection                                                years, employment in the sector is
                                                                                  down a little less than 1000.
           projects, what we can                              9,700
           clearly see is most of the
           growth in employment
           has essentially come                                    up 1000                           9,600
                                                                   since 2014
           from the health sector.
           All other top six sectors                                                                      down 1000
           almost exactly cancel            ACCOMMODATION & FOOD                                          since 2014
           each other out!                  Another key sector driven by tourism.
                                            Here, despite improvements in
           If the region is to              tourism, there has been precious little   CONSTRUCTION
           prosper, we obviously            improvement in employment of late.    The sector has been on a decade-
           need a second wave of            Over the past four years, employment   long trend decline. The recent
           investment but also a            has risen by a little more than 1000.   upswing in perception (due to cranes
           diversification away             Taken together with retail, there’s been   on the skyline) has not been reflected
           from our reliance on             virtually no increase in employment   in employment. The reason is likely to
           tourism. This is already         in the two sectors mainly aligned with   be the fact that residential building
           happening as health and          tourism. As readers of the Conus blog   remains sluggish and although
           public administration            will know, I have been concerned about   cranes may be highly visible there
           take up lead roles as our        the under-performance of the tourism   are fewer small-scale residential
                                                                                  construction projects going on in
           only real growth sectors.        industry in the Far North for some time   the ‘burbs. High-profile building
           But this has come about,         and the fact that the two main tourism-  projects mitigate against some of the
           at least to some extent,         based industry sectors have seen      decline but are not enough to make
           by the lack of growth            virtually no employment growth in four   substantial in-roads into the declines
           in other sectors such as         years - during a nationwide tourism   seen since 2008. Employment in this
           construction and the             boom! This highlights those concerns   sector is down 1000.
           tourism-based industries.        I’ve expressed.


            MORE: conus.com.au
                                                              9,300                                  8,500

                                                                                                          up 500
                                                                   up 2000                                since 2014
                                                                   since 2014
           High-profile
           building projects                PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION                 EDUCATION
                                                                                  The other positive sector to consider
           mitigate against                 The public sector continues to grow at   is the education sector. Education
                                            all levels of government. If Cairns can
           some of the                      attract more decentralised government   currently sits just outside the top
           decline                          services (particularly at the state   5 for Cairns after some surprising
                                                                                  drops in the past two years. However,
                                            level) there is ample scope for further   it certainly has the potential to move
                                            significant increases. Over the past four   back into that list in the next year or so.
                                            years, employment in the sector is up   In the past four years, it has increased
                                            by 2000.
                                                                                  employment by about 500.

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